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Slate’s Trumpcast discusses SurveyMonkey’s poll on Roy Moore

Slate’s Trumpcast discusses SurveyMonkey’s poll on Roy Moore

More than two-thirds of Americans are tuned into the allegations against GOP Senate candidate Roy Moore, and they overwhelmingly believe the accusations against him rather than his denials. Fully 69 percent trust the women who’ve made the claims; just 19 percent have more confidence in Moore.

These data come from a SurveyMonkey poll conducted November 14th and shared exclusively with the podcasters at Slate’s Trumpcast for a live taping of their show held the same day in San Francisco. Listen here.

The party split is clear: almost all Democrats (93 percent) and the vast majority of independents (72 percent) believe the women, but Republicans are almost evenly divided (40 percent side with Moore; 47 percent with the women). However, the more important gap may be within the Republican Party, where GOP men and women have starkly different views: GOP men favor Moore 51 percent to 41 percent, while GOP women side with the women by a nearly 2-to-1 margin (52 percent to 27 percent).

Similar to the root question on believability, nearly two-thirds (64 percent) of adults say that Moore should drop out of the U.S. Senate race.

Almost all Democrats (86 percent) and two-thirds of independents (67 percent) say Moore should drop out. But, the plurality of Republicans prefer that Moore stay in the race (49 percent, versus 39 percent who say he should drop out)

Digging deeper, the same GOP divide emerges - a majority Republican men say that Moore should stay in the race (60 percent), while more Republican women lean towards him dropping out (46 percent, versus 38 percent who say stay in), with a sizeable share who don’t share an answer (17 percent).

Methodology: ​This SurveyMonkey online survey was conducted November 14, 2017 among a national sample of 1,276 adults. Respondents for this survey were selected from the nearly 3 million people who take surveys on the SurveyMonkey platform each day. Data have been weighted for age, race, sex, education, and geography using the Census Bureau’s American Community Survey to reflect the demographic composition of the United States. The modeled error estimate for this survey is plus or minus 3.0 percentage points.