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Q1 2021 Small Business Confidence Index drops five points to its lowest level since CNBC and SurveyMonkey began tracking confidence in 2017

ENGLEWOOD CLIFFS, N.J. and SAN MATEO, CA, February 10, 2021 — CNBC, First in Business Worldwide, and SurveyMonkey (Nasdaq: SVMK), a leader in agile software solutions for customer experience, market research, and survey feedback, today announced the results of their quarterly CNBC/SurveyMonkey Small Business Survey.

The survey found that 63% of small business owners support President Joe Biden’s $1.9 Trillion COVID relief package. The legislative proposal picking up support from 46% of Republican small business owners, even as only 14% of the same group approve of how Biden is handling his job as President overall. 

Support for more relief comes as confidence among small business owners has plummeted to a new all-time low since the quarterly tracking survey began in 2017. The Small Business Confidence Index fell from 48 out of a possible 100 in the fourth quarter last year to 43 this quarter. The data demonstrated a steep decline in the number of small business owners saying overall business conditions are “good” (from 39% in the fourth quarter of 2020, to 29% this quarter), as well as sharp increases in the number of small business owners who expect potential changes in tax, trade, regulatory, and even immigration policy to have a negative impact on their businesses.  

"The pressure is rising for small business owners, with barely more than half saying they can make it another year under current conditions,” said Jon Cohen, Chief Research Officer at SurveyMonkey. “That's a significantly less optimistic stance than we tallied last quarter, and fuels the widespread support for a big COVID relief package. The squeeze is particularly hard for minority small business owners: among Black small business owners, just 37% think they can make it 12 months without things changing." 

Each quarter, CNBC and SurveyMonkey poll over 2,000 small business owners aiming to measure the vitality of the American economy as well as the view from Main Street on jobs, taxes and other hot topics. In addition to measuring small business confidence nationwide, the large sample size gives CNBC and SurveyMonkey the power to uncover trends by geographic region and among specific small business cohorts. 

Additional key findings from the Q1 2021 CNBC/SurveyMonkey Small Business Survey include 

  • Small business plunges among Republicans, rises for Democrats
    • The Small Business Confidence Index for Republicans is 32.
      • Confidence among Democrats has risen to 63, up 17 points from the pre-election survey.
  • One third of small business owners say they’d have to lay off workers if Congress raised the federal minimum wage to $15/hr
    • Republican small business owners (44%) are much more likely than Democrat small business owners (11%) to say a higher minimum wage would force them to lay people off.
  • Black-owned businesses are hit harder by the pandemic
    • Despite all the above, Black small business owners are extremely optimistic. Their confidence index is 61, vs. 41 for White small business owners.

CNBC Small Business Reporter Kate Rogers will reveal the results of the CNBC/SurveyMonkey Small Business Survey today, Wednesday, February 10, throughout CNBC’s Business Day programming. For more information on the survey including the full results and methodology and in-depth articles, go to: https://www.surveymonkey.com/curiosity/cnbc-small-business-q1-2021/.

Methodology:

SurveyMonkey created a unique Small Business Confidence Index (SBCI), which is a 100-point score based on responses to eight key questions. The index is calculated on a scale from 0–100 and is based on the responses to eight key questions. A zero indicates no confidence, and a score of 100 indicates perfect confidence. The first quarter of 2021′s SBCI has decreased to an overall value of 43 from 48 in the fourth quarter last year.

This CNBC/SurveyMonkey online poll was conducted January 25-31, 2021 among a national sample of 2,157 self-identified small business owners ages 18 and up. This quarter, the survey also reached 9,697 individuals who do not own small businesses. Respondents for this survey were selected from the more than 2 million people who take surveys on the SurveyMonkey platform each day. The modeled error estimate for this survey is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points for the results among small business owners and 1.5 percentage points for results among those who do not own small businesses. Data for this quarter have been weighted to be representative of small business owners nationally, according to business characteristics from the Small Business Administration’s 2013 Statistics of U.S. Businesses and owner characteristics from the Census Bureau’s 2012 Survey of Business Owners.

For more information contact:
CNBC
Jennifer Dauble
201-735-4721
jennifer.dauble@nbcuni.com

CNBC
Stephanie Hirlemann
201-397-2838
steph.hirlemann@nbcuni.com

About CNBC:

CNBC is the recognized world leader in business news and provides real-time financial market coverage and business content consumed by more than 355 million people per month across all platforms. The network’s 14 live hours a day of business programming in North America (weekdays from 5:00 a.m. - 7:00 p.m. ET) is produced at CNBC’s global headquarters in Englewood Cliffs, N.J., and includes reports from CNBC News bureaus worldwide. CNBC at night features a mix of new reality programming, CNBC’s highly successful series produced exclusively for CNBC and a number of distinctive in-house documentaries.

CNBC also offers content through its vast portfolio of digital products such as: CNBC.com, which provides real-time financial market news and information to CNBC’s investor audience; CNBC Make It, a digital destination focused on making you smarter about how you earn, save and spend your money; CNBC PRO, a premium service that provides in-depth access to Wall Street; a suite of CNBC mobile apps for iOS and Android devices; Amazon Alexa, Google Assistant and Apple Siri voice interfaces; and streaming services including Apple TV, Roku, Amazon Fire TV, Android TV and Samsung Smart TVs. To learn more, visit https://www.cnbc.com/digital-products/.

Members of the media can receive more information about CNBC and its programming on the NBCUniversal Media Village Web site at http://www.nbcumv.com/programming/cnbc.  For more information about NBCUniversal, please visit http://www.NBCUniversal.com.

About SurveyMonkey:

SurveyMonkey is a leader in agile software solutions for customer experience, market research, and survey feedback. The company’s platform empowers over 17 million active users to analyze and act on feedback from employees, customers, website and app users, and market research respondents. SurveyMonkey’s products, enterprise solutions, and integrations enable more than 335,000 organizations to deliver better customer experiences, increase employee retention, and unlock growth and innovation. Ultimately, SurveyMonkey’s vision is to raise the bar for human experiences by amplifying individual voices.