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Page: Core questions
1. How do you assess the overall condition of the U.S. economy right now?
 answered question46
 
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2
 Strong and growingStrong with uncertain growthMixedFacing recessionWeak and recessingN/ARating
Average
Rating
Count
Select One0.0% (0)4.3% (2)76.1% (35)17.4% (8)2.2% (1)0.0% (0)2.8346

2. Is the U.S. economy doing better or worse than official government statistics show?
 answered question47
 
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1
 BetterSameWorseN/ARating
Average
Rating
Count
Select One6.4% (3)70.2% (33)21.3% (10)2.1% (1)1.8547

3. What are the prospects for the following over the next 3 years (in the U.S. unless stated otherwise)?
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 Increasing stronglyIncreasingAbout the sameDecreasingDecreasing stronglyDon't know / Not applicableRating
Average
Rating
Count
Employment2.1% (1)63.8% (30)25.5% (12)8.5% (4)0.0% (0)0.0% (0)3.6047
GDP per capita2.1% (1)51.1% (24)40.4% (19)4.3% (2)2.1% (1)0.0% (0)3.4747
Budget deficit (annual)8.9% (4)31.1% (14)17.8% (8)42.2% (19)0.0% (0)0.0% (0)3.0745
Inflation0.0% (0)58.7% (27)34.8% (16)6.5% (3)0.0% (0)0.0% (0)3.5246
Interest rates (real)2.1% (1)53.2% (25)40.4% (19)4.3% (2)0.0% (0)0.0% (0)3.5347
Stock market2.1% (1)44.7% (21)38.3% (18)12.8% (6)2.1% (1)0.0% (0)3.3247
Global output4.3% (2)59.6% (28)23.4% (11)10.6% (5)2.1% (1)0.0% (0)3.5347
Poverty2.1% (1)42.6% (20)36.2% (17)19.1% (9)0.0% (0)0.0% (0)3.2847
Labor Force Participation0.0% (0)46.8% (22)27.7% (13)23.4% (11)2.1% (1)0.0% (0)3.1947

4. Is the U.S. federal government too involved in the U.S. economy?
 answered question45
 
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 YesMixed / about rightNoN/ARating
Average
Rating
Count
Select One60.0% (27)28.9% (13)11.1% (5)0.0% (0)2.4945

5. The U.S. federal government should ...
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 Strongly AgreeAgreeDisagreeStrongly DisagreeRating
Average
Rating
Count
Allow states to set their own minimum wage32.6% (15)37.0% (17)21.7% (10)8.7% (4)2.0746
Repeal Obamacare legislatively38.3% (18)19.1% (9)19.1% (9)23.4% (11)2.2847
Adopt a VAT as part of revenue neutral tax reform8.5% (4)40.4% (19)34.0% (16)17.0% (8)2.6047
Unilaterally eliminate its trade barriers33.3% (16)35.4% (17)25.0% (12)6.3% (3)2.0448
Cut defense spending dramatically (per the upcoming sequester)25.0% (12)33.3% (16)29.2% (14)12.5% (6)2.2948
Get more involved in Syria (i.e., stopping authoritarian atrocities with U.S. military force)6.3% (3)16.7% (8)56.3% (27)20.8% (10)2.9248

Page: Topical Questions
6. The chances that the Fed will adopt NGDP targeting within five years are (Mark Thoma, Economist's View):
 answered question44
 
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 Response
Percent
Response
Count
zero
9.1%4
very low
29.5%13
low
40.9%18
even odds
18.2%8
high
2.3%1
very high 0.0%0
certain 0.0%0

7. What is the most probable scenario for nominal rates of return of low-risk assets in the US? (Pedro Albuquerque, Incentives Matter):
 answered question43
 
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5
 Response
Percent
Response
Count
Rate will remain depressed for many years to come.
41.9%18
Rates will slowly rise in an organized fashion as the economy recovers while inflation is kept under control.
30.2%13
Rates will rise fast at some point under the auspices of the monetary authority but only after it realizes that inflation has become high and persistent.
14.0%6
Rates will rise fast and chaotically at some point as a result of monetary and financial disarray.
14.0%6

8. Agree or disagree? The fall of great powers in history -- Rome, Ming China, imperial Spain, etc. -- can be attributed primarily to economics and economic policy decisions. (Glenn Hubbard and Tim Kane, Blog TBA) COMMENTS WELCOME, but please add your name if it is okay to cite you.
 answered question45
 
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3
 Response
Percent
Response
Count
Strongly Agree
17.8%8
Agree
33.3%15
Disagree
44.4%20
Strongly Disagree
4.4%2
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