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CIHT Back to the FUTURES Survey
Introduction
The February 2015 CIHT Council meeting debated work by Professor Glenn Lyons (UWE Bristol) on the uncertainty over future demand for transport and the implications for policymaking. Council agreed a CIHT project involving more members in such debate would be worthwhile. CIHT asked Professor Lyons to carry out a wide ranging series of workshops around the UK, involving over 200 CIHT members in 2015/16. The initiative was given the title CIHT FUTURES. At that time, the “regime-compliant” pathway was very much seen to be the current approach to policymaking and investment in the UK. This survey explores how much has changed in the industry since then. [see www.ciht.org.uk/futures for the report and further information].
The “regime compliant” policymaking pathway reflects the forecast-led paradigm of predict and provide and leads to decisions that are compliant with the way of the world we have known. The “regime testing” policymaking pathway brings into question the way of the world we have known, exposes uncertainty and focuses upon decide and provide – decide upon a preferable future vision and provide a strategy to move towards it that is resilient to the uncertainty faced.