Under the Institution for Transport Policy Study (ITPS)’s three-year project of “A Study of Transport System in a Low Carbon Society”, ITPS and project members have built backcasting scenarios of the world and five main regions of North and Latin America, Europe, India, Southeast Asia and China.
(For the overview of the project, visit http://itps.sakura.ne.jp/stlsite/STL-TOP.html
and for the scenarios, visit http://www.itps.sakura.ne.jp/stlsite/doc/ecsession.zip )
ITPS’ Global Scenario has grasped the rough image of the low carbon transport system in the world in 2050 although there was a limit to take into account the regional characteristics. Regional Scenarios have tried to capture the regional uniqueness but it was recognized that in order to achieve a low carbon transport system, each region needs to take intensive policies, some of which are globally common policies while some are different from region to region.
Towards the end of the project, it would be worthwhile to consolidate transport experts’ views in terms of the image of the ideal transport system in a low carbon society and to make a certain consensus what are required in order to achieve such a transport system. For this purpose, ITPS is going to conduct a “mini” research to see the ideal image of the transport system in 2050 and the required policy packages.
It will be a “mini” research because the time of the study is limited. The study will be carried out in the simplest way so that the results can be analyzed within the limited time.
The research will be based on the premises of ITPS’ Global Scenario which are as follows:
a) Globalization and urbanization will naturally continue to advance.
b) The economies of developing countries will continue to grow.
c) The population will also rise.
d) The oil price will rise to about twice the current price, and remain high thereafter.
Under the above conditions, please imagine that the low carbon society is achieved in the global level by 2050 and the transport system also becomes sustainable. In order to answer each question, please visualize the transport system in your country in 2050 under the low carbon society.
Each expert will answer each question in terms of the the country he or she is living in now. Comments can be made freely where necessary. Experts can see the results of the round and revise their answers taking into account the results and comments as many as they like until the session is closed. To see the results of the survey, please visit
The types of transport modes referred to in this survey are based on the categorization of the International Energy Agency.
To answer all the questions, it may take about 20-25 minutes.
This session of the research will be closed in late December.
If you have any questions, please contact Yuki Tanaka of ITPS (firstname.lastname@example.org).