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2021 Spaceflight Predictions
It's the start of a new year and that means we get to try our hand at guessing what spaceflight events we'll see in the next 365 days!!! Then we'll check back in next year and see how we did!!!
OK
1.
Which rocket will launch first this year?
SLS
Starship / SuperHeavy
Vulcan
None
2.
How many times will Falcon Heavy launch this year [there are currently 5 potential launches on the schedule]
0
1-2
3-4
5+
3.
What's the furthest milestone Boeing's Starliner will make it to this year?
No major milestone
Gets stacked at the pad
OFT-2
Crew Flight Test
4.
Will Rocket Lab catch, recover and relaunch an Electron this year?
No
They'll almost catch one
Catch and Recover
Relaunch
5.
How many new launch vehicles will make it to orbit in 2022? We saw 3 new launch vehicles make it to orbit in 2021 [Virgin Orbit's LauncherOne, Astra's Rocket & Korea's Nuri rocket]
0
1-2
3-4
5+
6.
What's the furthest milestone that a Super Heavy booster will do in 2022?
Nothing
All engine static fire
Full Stack WDR
Launch!
7.
Assuming Starship / Super Heavy launches, how far will Super Heavy make it into flight? [Don't answer if you don't think it'll launch in 2022]
Launch
Max Q
Stage Sep
Successful landing burn
8.
What's the furthest milestone we'll see of a Starship upper stage this year?
No milestone
Launched!
Successful reentry
Full landing / recovery
9.
Which of these new small sat launch companies will make it to orbit first?
Relativity
Firefly
ABL
None of these will
10.
How many humans will go to orbit in 2022? [Not including those who are currently on orbit now] [27 humans flew to orbit in 2021]
< 24
24 - 27
28 - 30
31 +
11.
What percentage of the boosters @SpaceX launches in 2022 will land? [Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy] [include intentional / expended AND/OR unintentional landing failures]
<85%
85-90%
91-95%
96-100%
12.
How many times will SpaceX launch something in 2022? [they launched 35 times in 2021 including Starship]
< 35
35-37
38-40
41+
13.
What's the most flights a single Falcon 9 booster will have reached in 2022? [B1051 is currently at 11]
Still 11
12-14
15-17
18+
14.
Will Rocket Lab test fire their new Archimedes engine in 2022?
Yes!
No
15.
When will SLS / Artemis 1 launch in 2022?
Q1
Q2
Second half of the year
It won't launch in 2022
16.
How much further will Ingenuity fly on Mars? [It flew 3.82 km in 2021]
It won't fly again
0 - 3.99 km
4 - 6.99 km
> 7 km
17.
When will we see the first image from the James Webb Space Telescope?
Q2 or earlier
Q3
Q4
Never
18.
When will we see a Raptor 2 on a launch vehicle?
January
Feb or March
April or May
June or later
19.
What's the furthest milestone @ulalaunch will get to with their Vulcan rocket?
No visible progress
BE-4 engines delivered
Vehicle at the pad
Launch!
20.
How many lunar landers will successfully soft touchdown on the moon in 2022?
0
1
2
3+
21.
What's the furthest milestone Arianespace will complete with their Ariane 6 rocket?
No visible milestone
Shipped to the pad
Tests at the pad
Launch!
22.
What's the furthest milestone Blue Origin will complete with their New Glenn rocket?
No visible progress
Launch Vehicle at the pad
Static fire
Launch!
23.
How many times will a Soyuz rocket launch? [It launched 22 times in 2021]
<22
22
23-25
26+
24.
How will @NASA's DART [Double Asteroid Redirection Test] mission go?
Fail before impact
It'll miss
Hit target Dimorphos
Hit parent Didymos
Current Progress,
0 of 24 answered
