Amazon Disruption Scenarios

SiliconANGLE and theCUBE, in collaboration with author and thought leader David Moschella, are initiating a community research project. The question we're asking is, over the course of the next decade, "what could disrupt the extraordinary success of Amazon, Google, Apple, Microsoft, and Facebook?" The first survey focuses on Amazon. Participants can typically rate the seven scenarios below in less than five minutes, with the results available at Siliconangle.com. We hope you find these scenarios thought provoking, and we thank you for sharing your views.

Please rate the overall likelihood of the following seven + 1 scenarios in terms of their ability to disrupt Amazon’s current business model and/or operations over the course of the 2020s; where: 

1 = Highly Unlikely; 10 = Highly Likely 

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* 1. Government mandated separation, divestment and/or limits on Amazon’s cloud computing, retail, media, credit card, and/or in-house product groups

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* 2. Major companies increasingly choose to do their own cloud computing and/or sell their products directly for competitive, cost, security or other reasons

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* 3. Environmental policies raise costs, change packaging, delivery, recycling rules and/or consumer preferences

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* 4. Price/trade wars with U.S. and/or China cloud and e-commerce giants; protectionism favors national players

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* 5. Major computing innovations such as quantum, edge, or machine-to-machine obsolete today’s cloud architectures

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* 6. Software replaces centralized warehouses as delivery services are directly connected to suppliers and factories

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* 7. Complacency, arrogance, blindness, abuse of power, loss of trust, consumer and/or employee backlash/boycotts

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* 8. Other 

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