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Polling

New York Times|SurveyMonkey poll: June 2019

New York Times|SurveyMonkey poll: June 2019

Amidst a prolonged trade spat with two of the country’s three biggest trading partners, 68% of people in a New York Times|SurveyMonkey poll think President Trump’s trade policies are likely to cause the prices of goods and services in the U.S. to rise in the next 12 months.

Majorities of Democrats (83%), independents (69%), and Republicans (56%) all expect prices to rise. Fewer than two in 10 people (17%) think the president’s trade policies will have no effect on prices in the next year, and fewer still (12%) believe they will cause prices to fall.

On the other hand, 42% of people say the president’s trade policies will cause more jobs to be brought back to the U.S. from other countries in the next 12 months, while 29% say they will cause more jobs to be sent to other countries and 25% say they will not have an effect.

For more detailed results, click through the interactive toplines below.
Read more about our polling methodology here

Question text:
Which one of the following issues matters MOST to you right now?
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?
Would you say that you and your family are better off or worse off financially than you were a year ago?
Now looking ahead - do you think that a year from now you and your family will be better off financially, worse off financially, or just about the same as now?
Now turning to business conditions in the country as a whole - do you think that during the next 12 months we'll have good or bad times financially?
Looking ahead, which would you say is more likely to take place in the next five years for the country as a whole:
Thinking about the big things people buy for their homes - such as furniture, a stove, a television… Generally speaking, do you think now is a good or bad time for people to buy major household items?
Which comes closer to your view, even if neither is exactly right? Other countries generally treat the U.S. as fairly as we treat them/Other countries often take unfair advantage of the U.S.
As you may know, the Trump administration has recently increased tariffs or fees on imported goods from China, and China has increased tariffs on American goods. Do you think increased tariffs between the U.S. and China will be good or bad for the United States?
As you may know, the Trump administration has announced it will start increasing tariffs or fees on all goods from Mexico starting in a matter of weeks. Do you think this move will be good or bad for the United States?
In the next 12 months, do you think President Trump’s trade policies will cause the prices of goods and services in the U.S. to rise, to fall, or do you think they will not have an effect on prices?
In the next 12 months, do you think President Trump’s trade policies will cause more jobs to be brought back to the U.S. from other countries, more jobs to be sent from the U.S. to other countries, or do you think they will not have an effect on jobs?
How much, if at all, is your job threatened by competition from China?
How much, if at all, is your job threatened by competition from Mexico?
How much, if at all, is your job threatened by disruption from new technology?
Are you or is anyone in your household a member of a labor union?