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4 Graphs That Explain How Voters See the Presidential Candidates (and Paul Ryan)

4 Graphs That Explain How Voters See the Presidential Candidates (and Paul Ryan)

As Speaker of the House, Paul Ryan holds a lot of political clout, but do Republican voters trust him?

Sure, but not as much as they trust Donald Trump.

Ryan and Trump have begun meeting to attempt to bridge the ideological gap between Ryan’s establishment views and the presumptive Republican nominee’s own brand of politics.

So we decided to use SurveyMonkey’s Election Tracking to compare how voters see the two men, who are ostensibly the figureheads of their respective wings of the Republican Party.

What’d we find out?

Republicans trust Trump to lead the party


55% of Republican and Republican-leaning women trust Trump to lead the party, while only 40% trust Ryan. Trump also leads Ryan among White (59% to 38%) and Hispanic (56% to 32%) Republican and Republican-leaning voters.

…Ryan’s not unpopular, but Trump is super popular


Donald Trump has a 71% favorability rating among Republicans. That’s hard to trump erm…top—even if you’ve got 59% favorability rating.

Ryan outperforms Trump among 18-24 year-olds, but Trump trumps Ryan among people of all age groups 25 and older.

…Except in a bipartisan audience—that’s Bernie’s game


Even if Republicans love Trump, that doesn’t mean the rest of the U.S. does. Both he and Hillary Clinton have more people who dislike them than people who like them. The only one with a net positive favorability rating? Bernie Sanders.

…And that may actually matter come election season


According to our data, Hillary Clinton would still edge out Donald Trump. But if Trump faced Sanders, the lead would be a little more comfortable.

This SurveyMonkey Election Tracking survey was conducted online from May 9-15 among a national sample of more than 14,000 people aged 18 and over in the U.S. Respondents for this survey were selected from the nearly 3 million people who take surveys on the SurveyMonkey platform each day. Results have an error estimate of 1.5 percentage points.

Stay tuned for more on Elections here on the blog!


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