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Election Tracking Takeaways: Approval is Up for One Guy, and It’s Not Trump

Election Tracking Takeaways: Approval is Up for One Guy, and It’s Not Trump

SurveyMonkey Elections TrackingDonald Trump is charging toward a Republican nomination, while Hillary Clinton is making convincing strides towards her own party’s nomination.

But the political figure currently gaining steady numbers in approval ratings isn’t even running for president.

After all, he doesn’t really have to.

As personal attacks on the campaign trail continue to heat up, President Barack Obama’s approval rating has been on the rise.

In SurveyMonkey’s latest weekly political poll, 51% of registered voters nationwide approve of the way Obama is handling his job as president, while 48% disapprove.

What’s more is that you can see these gains across the political spectrum, and they’re especially noticeable among Independents.

  • Democrats and Independents who lean Democratic? Obama’s approval ticked up from 89% to 91% since January
  • Among Republicans or Independents who lean Republican, it went from 7% to 10%
  • Non-leaning Independents—up from 40% to 46%

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So what about the actual candidates still in the presidential race? Favorability and approval are one thing, but whether or not a voter will actually vote for a candidate is another.

Even though the Republican field saw candidate Marco Rubio drop out of the race last week, it hasn’t had much effect on the support for Republican frontrunner Donald Trump.

Trump’s support from all registered voters who identify or lean Republican has held relatively steady 44%, and it’s no wonder why.

Among the Rubio supporters polled by SurveyMonkey before the Florida senator suspended his campaign:

  • 47% said Ted Cruz would be their second choice
  • 30% said they’d choose John Kasich second
  • Just 9% said they’d select Donald Trump as their second choice

But even when you adjust for the former Rubio supporters, Trump is still way ahead with 45% of support from voters who identify or lean Republican. Ted Cruz follows with 27% and John Kasich with 18%.

Meanwhile, despite some big wins that will make it difficult for Bernie Sanders to compete, Hillary Clinton’s support is virtually unchanged among voters or identify or lean Democratic. Clinton stayed at about the same level (56%), while Bernie Sanders maintained his support at 37%.

Stay tuned to our blog for even more data and updates about politics from the SurveyMonkey Election Tracking product!

This SurveyMonkey Election Tracking survey was conducted online from March 14-20 among a national sample of more than 13,000 people aged 18 and over in the U.S. Respondents for this survey were selected from the nearly 3 million people who take surveys on the SurveyMonkey platform each day. Results have an error estimate of 1.5 percentage points.

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