The recent National Intelligence Estimate on Iran contradicted previous NIEs, undercut the White House position on the Iran threat and was called a U.S. surrender by the ruling clerics in Teheran. What's so great about NIEs anyway and how do we come up with them?

	1 Most Likely Explanation	2 More Likely Than Not	3 Plausible	4 That's Stretching	5 Least Likely Explanation
Intel chiefs meet and can't leave before signing off on one.	The recent National Intelligence Estimate on Iran contradicted previous NIEs, undercut the White House position on the Iran threat and was called a U.S. surrender by the ruling clerics in Teheran. What's so great about NIEs anyway and how do we come up with them? Intel chiefs meet and can't leave before signing off on one. 1 Most Likely Explanation	2 More Likely Than Not	3 Plausible	4 That's Stretching	5 Least Likely Explanation
Same as above but whole thing is scripted by the State Dept.	Same as above but whole thing is scripted by the State Dept. 1 Most Likely Explanation	2 More Likely Than Not	3 Plausible	4 That's Stretching	5 Least Likely Explanation
Same as above but it's not final til the focus group OKs it.	Same as above but it's not final til the focus group OKs it. 1 Most Likely Explanation	2 More Likely Than Not	3 Plausible	4 That's Stretching	5 Least Likely Explanation
Same as above, but since Rummy left the NIEs have gone limp.	Same as above, but since Rummy left the NIEs have gone limp. 1 Most Likely Explanation	2 More Likely Than Not	3 Plausible	4 That's Stretching	5 Least Likely Explanation
Used to be that way,but now, alcohol and darts are involved.	Used to be that way,but now, alcohol and darts are involved. 1 Most Likely Explanation	2 More Likely Than Not	3 Plausible	4 That's Stretching	5 Least Likely Explanation
Oh, why the NIEs? So the bad guys won't know our thinking.	Oh, why the NIEs? So the bad guys won't know our thinking. 1 Most Likely Explanation	2 More Likely Than Not	3 Plausible	4 That's Stretching	5 Least Likely Explanation